CNN’s senior data reporter Harry Enten revealed some really interesting numbers to Jake Tapper on Monday. According to polls and other data that Enten revealed, Republicans would see historic gains in the upcoming November mid-term elections.
According to Enten, Republicans are looking at a solid possibility of taking the majority in the House Od Representatives where Democrats are currently holding a tiny 12-seat majority.
“If you’re a Republican running for re-election, or trying to unseat a Democrat, things are looking pretty good, right?” Tapper asked.
“I would say they’re looking very good from the historical context. Basically, I took the best Republican positions on the generic congressional ballot at this point in midterm cycles since 1938, that generic ballot basically is, ‘Would you vote for the generic Republican or generic Democrat in your district?’” Enten explained.
“And guess what? Since 1938, the Republican two-point lead on the generic congressional ballot is the best position for Republicans at this point in any midterm cycle in over 80 years,” he added. “It beats 2010, when Republicans were up a point.” He continued.
“Sometimes history isn’t always prologue, but my estimate for the 2023 House makeup if the election were held today — which again, it isn’t … would be Republicans, 236 seats to 241 seats. Democrats, 194 to 199,” Enten added predicting a historic swing in the House from a slim Democrat majority (+12 right now) to Republicans +37-47
"A lot of the Democrats’ problems, it seems, can be linked back to the president, right, who is severely underwater," CNN’s Jake Tapper asks senior data reporter Harry Enten pic.twitter.com/q6IUkGx2Is
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“A lot of the Democrats’ problems, it seems, can be linked back to the president, right, who is severely underwater,” Tapper remarked noting Biden’s all-time low approval ratings and its potential impacts on the upcoming elections.
Enten noted historical contexts in such scenarios, “In 1962, the president’s approval rating, JFK, was 71%. Bill Clinton in 1998, 63%. In the 2002 cycle, 72% for George W. Bush. Joe Biden’s is just 41%,” he said. ” Why is his approval rating so low?” He asked.
“This is the net approval rating on the economy at this point in a presidency. Joe Biden’s minus 26 points. That is the lowest, tied for the lowest for any president in the last 40-plus years,” Enten explained.
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